Population status

American Kestrel
(Falco sparverius)

The American Kestrel is best monitored in Canada by the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS), despite incomplete coverage of the species' northern breeding range. BBS results show a relatively steady decline in the population over the course of the survey, with an overall decrease of about 54% of the population between 1970 and 2016. The decline is consistent throughout the Bird Conservation Regions (BCRs; results for all BCRs with reasonably reliable results are displayed below) but varies from about a 33% overall decline in the Atlantic Northern Forest to as high as 77% in the Northern Rockies. Because the American Kestrel was affected by DDT and persecution (Farmer et al. 2008), resulting in low levels of abundance at the start of monitoring efforts, and its historical abundance remains unknown, a specific management goal relative to 1970 has not yet been set. However, because the population has continued to decline, it is clear that it is below the lowest acceptable level relative to its national population goal (see Canada graph below).

 

Population goal and acceptable levels of variation

Species/groupGoalLower levelUpper level
American KestrelTo be determined95th percentile of observed abundance (1970-2012)
Not applicable

Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Additional information on: Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Table 1: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime Period Table 1 - footnote 1 Annual trend Table 1 - footnote 2 Limits
LowerUpper
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.7-2.1-1.2
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 2006-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis2006-2016-1.5-3.60.6
Boreal Taiga Plains Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Taiga Plains 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.4-2.1-0.6
Great Basin Select to view graph of the geographic area: Great Basin 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.1-3.2-0.8
Northern Rockies Select to view graph of the geographic area: Northern Rockies 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-3.2-4.3-1.8
Prairie Potholes Select to view graph of the geographic area: Prairie Potholes 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.8-2.8-0.8
Boreal Hardwood Transition Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Hardwood Transition 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.3-2.1-0.5
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain Select to view graph of the geographic area: Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.8-3.8-1.7
Atlantic Northern Forest Select to view graph of the geographic area: Atlantic Northern Forest 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.8-20.4
North America Select to view graph of the geographic area: North America 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1-1.2-0.8
 

References