Population status

Black Tern
(Chlidonias niger)

Although generally uncommon, the Black Tern is widespread in Canada and most of its range is well-sampled by the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS). Results from this survey indicate a loss of abundance of about 65% since the early 1970s, with declines across all Bird Conservation Regions where the species occurs, though only those for which there are reasonably reliable BBS results are shown below. Continental BBS results indicate that the long-term decline is range-wide. However, the bulk of the decrease appears to have occurred prior to the early 1990s. This is consistent with marsh bird monitoring surveys in the Great Lakes region and in Quebec, which show an essentially stable population in that region since the mid-1990s. However, there is also concern that large declines may have taken place prior to the initiation of population monitoring around 1970 (Heath et al. 2009). The Black Tern is below the lowest acceptable level relative to its national population goal (see Canada BBS graph below).

 

Population goal and acceptable levels of variation

Species/groupGoalLower levelUpper level
Black TernMean abundance (first 5 years of survey)Goal minus 25% Not applicable

Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Additional information on: Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Table 1: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime Period Table 1 - footnote 1 Annual trend Table 1 - footnote 2 Limits
LowerUpper
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.3-4.50
Northern Rockies Select to view graph of the geographic area: Northern Rockies 1971-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1971-2016-4-7.2-0.7
Prairie Potholes Select to view graph of the geographic area: Prairie Potholes 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.1-3.8-0.4
North America Select to view graph of the geographic area: North America 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.5-4.4-0.6
 

Great Lakes Marsh Monitoring Program

Additional information on: Great Lakes Marsh Monitoring Program

Table 2: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime PeriodAnnual Trend Table 2 - footnote 1 Limits
LowerUpper
Great Lakes Basin in Ontario Select to view graph of the geographic area: Great Lakes Basin in Ontario 1995-2016; Great Lakes Marsh Monitoring Program1995-2016-0.11-0.139-0.083
 

Quebec Marsh Monitoring Program

Additional information on: Quebec Marsh Monitoring Program

Table 3: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime PeriodAnnual Trend Table 3 - footnote 1 Limits
LowerUpper
Quebec Select to view graph of the geographic area: Quebec 2004-2016; Quebec Marsh Monitoring Program2004-2016-0.141-0.203-0.07
 

References