Population status

Great Horned Owl
(Bubo virginianus)

Despite the species' nocturnal habits, the best source of national population change information for the Great Horned Owl comes from the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS). BBS results suggest that the Canadian population has shown a decrease of about 40% since 1970. The extent of this decrease varies across Bird Conservation Regions (BCRs; results for all BCRs with reasonably reliable results are displayed below), but all BCRs except the Prairie Potholes are showing negative trends. Because the BBS covers less than half of the species' breeding population and the estimated trends within Canadian regions rely partly on the species' range-wide trend (i.e., the average trend across the BBS survey area, including the United States) since there are relatively few observations of the species in any one region, we also examined results from the Christmas Bird Count (CBC). Results from the CBC in Canada also indicate a moderate decrease (~45%) in the national population of the Great Horned Owl. Interestingly, both the BBS and CBC show shallower declines at the continental level. Because both surveys agree on the trajectory of the national population, the reliability of this assessment is considered to be high. The Great Horned Owl has been below the lowest acceptable level relative to its national population goal since the early 1990s (see BBS Canada graph below). Future assessments of this species may benefit from regional Nocturnal Owl Surveys, once they amass a longer time series.

 

Population goal and acceptable levels of variation

Species/groupGoalLower levelUpper level
Great Horned OwlMean abundance (first 5 years of survey)Goal minus 25% Not applicable

Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Additional information on: Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Table 1: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime Period Table 1 - footnote 1 Annual trend Table 1 - footnote 2 Limits
LowerUpper
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.1-2.2-0.1
Boreal Taiga Plains Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Taiga Plains 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.4-4.2-0.6
Prairie Potholes Select to view graph of the geographic area: Prairie Potholes 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-20160.1-0.81.2
Boreal Hardwood Transition Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Hardwood Transition 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.8-3.62.8
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain Select to view graph of the geographic area: Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.3-3.9-0.7
Atlantic Northern Forest Select to view graph of the geographic area: Atlantic Northern Forest 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.9-2.91.1
North America Select to view graph of the geographic area: North America 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.4-0.80
 

Picture of logo Christmas Bird Count (CBC)

Additional information on: Christmas Bird Count (CBC)

Table 2: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime PeriodAnnual Trend Table 2 - footnote 1 Limits
LowerUpper
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 1970-2016; Christmas Bird Count (CBC)1970-2016-1.4-2.3-0.7
North America Select to view graph of the geographic area: North America 1970-2016; Christmas Bird Count (CBC)1970-20160-0.30.2
 

References