Population status

Northern Harrier
(Circus hudsonius)

The Northern Harrier has a broad breeding distribution in Canada. About half of its breeding population is covered by the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS), despite lower availability of its preferred habitat along BBS routes (e.g., upland graminoid, marsh wetlands). BBS results for Canada indicate that the population has decreased by about 47% since 1970. Trends from most Bird Conservation Regions (BCRs) that host the species show moderate or large decreases, except the Atlantic Northern Forest BCR, which shows little overall change (results for all BCRs with reasonably reliable results are displayed below). Crewe et al. 2016 estimated trends during migration at Hawk Watch sites across the United States and a few sites in eastern Canada. Their results suggest that numbers of Northern Harrier during migration have declined over much of the United States, particularly in the northeast, over the short-term (2005-2016). However, it is difficult to determine how these results reflect on the status of Northern Harrier populations in Canada; the proportion of Canadian breeders migrating through these sites is unknown. Results from the BBS from throughout North America also indicate a decrease in the continental population of Northern Harrier. Because the Northern Harrier was affected by DDT (Farmer et al. 2008), resulting in low levels of abundance at the start of monitoring efforts, and its historical abundance remains unknown, a specific management goal relative to 1970 has not yet been set. However, because the population has continued to decline, it is clear that the species' abundance is below the lowest acceptable level relative to its national population goal (see Canada graph below).

 

Population goal and acceptable levels of variation

Species/groupGoalLower levelUpper level
Northern HarrierTo be determined95th percentile of observed abundance (1970-2012)
Not applicable

British Columbia Coastal Waterbird Survey

Additional information on: British Columbia Coastal Waterbird Survey

Table 1: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime PeriodAnnual Trend Table 1 - footnote 1 Limits
LowerUpper
British Columbia coast1999-2016-2.6-6.11.1
 

Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Additional information on: Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis

Table 2: Population trends by geographic area
Geographic areaTime Period Table 2 - footnote 1 Annual trend Table 2 - footnote 2 Limits
LowerUpper
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.4-2-0.8
Canada Select to view graph of the geographic area: Canada 2006-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis2006-2016-0.6-3.12.7
Boreal Taiga Plains Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Taiga Plains 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-2.2-3.6-0.8
Great Basin Select to view graph of the geographic area: Great Basin 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.6-3.22.6
Northern Rockies Select to view graph of the geographic area: Northern Rockies 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.4-2.62.1
Prairie Potholes Select to view graph of the geographic area: Prairie Potholes 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.6-2.3-0.9
Boreal Hardwood Transition Select to view graph of the geographic area: Boreal Hardwood Transition 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.5-2.8-0.3
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain Select to view graph of the geographic area: Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-1.8-3-0.6
Atlantic Northern Forest Select to view graph of the geographic area: Atlantic Northern Forest 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-20160.3-0.81.5
North America Select to view graph of the geographic area: North America 1970-2016; Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) - Canadian analysis1970-2016-0.6-1-0.3
 

References