Trend results for Northern Flicker

A comprehensive assessment of this species' status is available, on the Status of Birds in Canada web site, or for waterfowl, in the most recent report on the Migratory game bird hunting.

Trend results can be filtered by selecting a new time period.


View definitions of the trend results table columns.

Select a geographic area name in the first column to view graphs of annual indices and maps of the regions included in the analysis. Use the scroll bar to view additional columns.

Long-term trend estimates for Northern Flicker in all regions of Canada
Geographic area Time period Annual trend Limits Overall reliability N routes Reliability details Probability of decrease Probability of increase Population change Population change - lower limit Population change - upper limit Probability of population change during time period
Lower Upper Geographic coverage Local data weight Precision >50% decrease 25%-50% decrease 0%-25% decrease 0%-33% increase 33%-100% increase >100% increase
Canada; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.855 -1.28 -0.516 Medium 1003 0.424 0.91 0.763 1 0 -33.2 -45.4 -21.6 0.005 0.914 0.081 0 0 0
Alberta; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.575 -1.38 0.217 Low 153 0.241 0.902 1.6 0.92 0.08 -23.7 -47.9 10.7 0.015 0.45 0.455 0.078 0.002 0
British Columbia; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.57 -1.17 0 Low 156 0.057 0.875 1.17 0.975 0.025 -23.6 -42.4 0.019 0.003 0.455 0.517 0.025 0 0
Manitoba; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.863 -1.6 -0.161 High 68 0.514 0.881 1.44 0.995 0.005 -33.5 -53.2 -7.31 0.049 0.712 0.234 0.005 0 0
New Brunswick; Long-term 1970-2017 0.098 -0.596 0.758 High 45 0.982 0.965 1.35 0.386 0.614 4.72 -24.5 42.6 0 0.023 0.363 0.547 0.067 0
Newfoundland and Labrador; Long-term 1976-2017 -2 -3.58 -0.411 Medium 26 0.401 0.787 3.17 0.993 0.007 -56.4 -77.6 -15.5 0.668 0.28 0.045 0.007 0 0
Northwest Territories; Long-term 1989-2017 -1.06 -3.3 1.02 Low 21 0.048 0.54 4.32 0.841 0.159 -25.8 -60.9 33 0.106 0.402 0.332 0.134 0.025 0
Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.214 -0.916 0.439 High 41 0.963 0.962 1.35 0.742 0.258 -9.56 -35.1 22.9 0.001 0.118 0.623 0.25 0.007 0
Ontario; Long-term 1970-2017 -0.623 -1.33 0.012 High 222 0.503 0.951 1.34 0.972 0.028 -25.4 -46.8 0.544 0.012 0.503 0.457 0.028 0 0
Québec; Long-term 1970-2017 -1.66 -2.53 -0.854 Medium 178 0.363 0.917 1.67 1 0 -54.5 -70 -33.2 0.679 0.315 0.005 0 0 0
Saskatchewan; Long-term 1970-2017 -1.04 -2.14 0.02 High 92 0.505 0.887 2.16 0.973 0.027 -38.8 -63.8 0.963 0.219 0.576 0.178 0.026 0.001 0
Yukon; Long-term 1972-2017 -1.18 -3.22 1.04 Low 48 0.088 0.792 4.26 0.858 0.142 -41.3 -77.1 59.4 0.373 0.316 0.169 0.09 0.043 0.008
Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4); Long-term 1972-2017 -1.26 -3.07 0.547 Low 53 0.091 0.662 3.62 0.905 0.095 -43.4 -75.5 27.8 0.385 0.353 0.168 0.077 0.017 0.001
Northern Pacific Rainforest (BCR 5); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.322 -1.34 0.845 High 51 1 0.921 2.18 0.719 0.281 -14.1 -46.9 48.5 0.016 0.273 0.43 0.23 0.049 0.002
Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.453 -1.11 0.206 Low 135 0.246 0.872 1.32 0.913 0.087 -19.2 -40.9 10.1 0.003 0.318 0.592 0.085 0.002 0
Taiga Shield and Hudson Plains (BCR 7); Long-term 1989-2017 -2.05 -5 0.727 Low 10 0.043 0.59 5.73 0.936 0.064 -44 -76.2 22.5 0.378 0.41 0.148 0.046 0.017 0.001
Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.11 -2.09 -0.174 Low 97 0.186 0.863 1.92 0.988 0.012 -40.8 -63 -7.85 0.22 0.635 0.133 0.012 0 0
Great Basin (BCR 9); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.528 -1.44 0.486 High 30 1 0.949 1.93 0.875 0.125 -22 -49.5 25.6 0.022 0.406 0.447 0.112 0.013 0
Northern Rockies (BCR 10); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.581 -1.39 0.235 High 77 1 0.915 1.62 0.921 0.079 -24 -48.1 11.7 0.016 0.457 0.448 0.078 0.001 0
Prairie Potholes (BCR 11); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.72 -2.44 -0.979 High 161 0.787 0.913 1.46 1 0 -55.9 -68.7 -37 0.76 0.239 0.001 0 0 0
Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.846 -1.32 -0.363 High 165 0.723 0.928 0.958 0.998 0.002 -32.9 -46.5 -15.7 0.005 0.842 0.151 0.002 0 0
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.53 -2.1 -0.979 High 98 0.971 0.952 1.12 1 0 -51.6 -63.1 -37 0.589 0.41 0.001 0 0 0
Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.154 -0.605 0.292 High 136 0.931 0.953 0.897 0.743 0.257 -7 -24.8 14.7 0 0.023 0.72 0.257 0 0
Canada (Taiga Shield and Hudson Plains (BCR 7)); Long-term 1989-2017 -2.05 -5 0.727 Low 10 0.043 0.59 5.73 0.936 0.064 -44 -76.2 22.5 0.378 0.41 0.148 0.046 0.017 0.001
Alberta (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.638 -1.56 0.291 Low 72 0.154 0.934 1.86 0.906 0.094 -26 -52.3 14.6 0.042 0.477 0.386 0.09 0.004 0
Alberta (Northern Rockies (BCR 10)); Long-term 1973-2017 -1 -2.31 0.211 High 15 1 0.842 2.53 0.943 0.057 -35.8 -64.3 9.74 0.216 0.5 0.227 0.051 0.006 0
Alberta (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2017 0.601 -0.75 1.81 High 66 0.945 0.91 2.56 0.165 0.835 32.5 -29.8 132 0.001 0.038 0.126 0.34 0.419 0.076
British Columbia (Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4)); Long-term 1972-2017 -1.51 -4.21 1.3 Low 5 0.056 0.451 5.51 0.868 0.132 -49.6 -85.5 79 0.495 0.252 0.121 0.071 0.044 0.017
British Columbia (Northern Pacific Rainforest (BCR 5)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.322 -1.34 0.845 High 51 1 0.921 2.18 0.719 0.281 -14.1 -46.9 48.5 0.016 0.273 0.43 0.23 0.049 0.002
British Columbia (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1974-2017 -0.35 -2.24 1.61 Low 8 0.05 0.693 3.86 0.635 0.365 -14 -62.3 99.1 0.095 0.269 0.271 0.219 0.122 0.024
British Columbia (Great Basin (BCR 9)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.528 -1.44 0.486 High 30 1 0.949 1.93 0.875 0.125 -22 -49.5 25.6 0.022 0.406 0.447 0.112 0.013 0
British Columbia (Northern Rockies (BCR 10)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.554 -1.4 0.324 High 62 1 0.954 1.72 0.895 0.105 -23 -48.4 16.4 0.017 0.43 0.448 0.101 0.004 0
Manitoba (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.214 -1.26 0.747 Medium 24 0.358 0.905 2.01 0.671 0.329 -9.59 -44.9 41.9 0.011 0.215 0.446 0.27 0.058 0.001
Manitoba (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1977-2017 -1.75 -3.27 -0.147 Low 12 0.082 0.808 3.12 0.983 0.017 -50.6 -73.5 -5.7 0.517 0.379 0.087 0.014 0.003 0
Manitoba (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2017 -2.27 -3.2 -1.21 High 34 0.873 0.92 1.99 1 0 -66.1 -78.3 -43.6 0.933 0.065 0.002 0 0 0
Manitoba (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.88 -3.38 -0.416 High 10 0.641 0.777 2.97 0.995 0.005 -59.1 -80.2 -17.8 0.708 0.246 0.042 0.004 0.001 0
New Brunswick (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2017 0.098 -0.596 0.758 High 45 0.982 0.965 1.35 0.386 0.614 4.72 -24.5 42.6 0 0.023 0.363 0.547 0.067 0
Newfoundland and Labrador (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1976-2017 -2 -3.58 -0.411 Medium 26 0.401 0.787 3.17 0.993 0.007 -56.4 -77.6 -15.5 0.668 0.28 0.045 0.007 0 0
Northwest Territories (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1989-2017 -0.767 -3.46 1.75 Low 11 0.053 0.484 5.22 0.729 0.271 -19.4 -62.7 62.6 0.115 0.311 0.303 0.194 0.071 0.007
Ontario (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.475 -1.71 0.801 Low 52 0.215 0.887 2.52 0.769 0.231 -20 -55.6 45.5 0.059 0.358 0.352 0.183 0.047 0.001
Ontario (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.523 -1.08 0.096 High 95 0.817 0.971 1.18 0.955 0.045 -21.8 -40.1 4.62 0 0.385 0.57 0.045 0 0
Ontario (Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13)); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.44 -2.08 -0.781 High 75 0.982 0.964 1.3 1 0 -49.5 -62.8 -30.8 0.47 0.524 0.006 0 0 0
Québec (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.99 -3.37 -0.63 Low 45 0.134 0.833 2.74 0.997 0.003 -61.2 -80 -25.7 0.783 0.195 0.02 0.002 0 0
Québec (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.29 -2.16 -0.43 High 60 0.569 0.943 1.73 0.998 0.002 -45.7 -64.2 -18.3 0.336 0.607 0.055 0.002 0 0
Québec (Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13)); Long-term 1970-2017 -1.94 -2.77 -1.13 High 23 0.926 0.935 1.63 1 0 -60.2 -73.3 -41.5 0.888 0.109 0.003 0 0 0
Québec (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.462 -1.48 0.599 High 50 0.765 0.923 2.08 0.81 0.19 -19.6 -50.4 32.4 0.027 0.363 0.419 0.166 0.023 0.001
Saskatchewan (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1972-2017 -0.167 -1.85 1.41 Medium 31 0.362 0.858 3.26 0.587 0.413 -7.24 -56.9 87.9 0.056 0.238 0.293 0.249 0.149 0.015
Saskatchewan (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2017 -2.21 -3.33 -0.963 High 61 0.714 0.91 2.36 1 0 -65.1 -79.6 -36.5 0.886 0.109 0.004 0 0 0
Yukon (Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4)); Long-term 1972-2017 -1.18 -3.22 1.04 Low 48 0.088 0.792 4.26 0.858 0.142 -41.3 -77.1 59.4 0.373 0.316 0.169 0.09 0.043 0.008
Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2017 -0.214 -0.916 0.439 High 41 0.963 0.962 1.35 0.742 0.258 -9.56 -35.1 22.9 0.001 0.118 0.623 0.25 0.007 0

This web site may be cited as: Smith, A.C., Hudson, M-A.R. Aponte, V., and Francis, C.M. 2019. North American Breeding Bird Survey - Canadian Trends Website, Data-version 2017. Environment and Climate Change Canada, Gatineau, Quebec, K1A 0H3

Any use of these BBS results for Canada should acknowledge the hundreds of skilled volunteers in Canada who have participated in the BBS over the years and those who have served as provincial or territorial coordinators for the BBS.

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