Trend results for Northern Flicker

A comprehensive assessment of this species' status is available, on the Status of Birds in Canada web site, or for waterfowl, in the most recent report on the Migratory game bird hunting.

Trend results can be filtered by selecting a new time period.


View definitions of the trend results table columns.

Select a geographic area name in the first column to view graphs of annual indices and maps of the regions included in the analysis. Use the scroll bar to view additional columns.

Long-term trend estimates for Northern Flicker in all regions of Canada
Geographic area Time period Annual trend Limits Overall reliability N routes Reliability details Probability of decrease Probability of increase Population change Population change - lower limit Population change - upper limit Probability of population change during time period
Lower Upper Geographic coverage Local data weight Precision >50% decrease 25%-50% decrease 0%-25% decrease 0%-33% increase 33%-100% increase >100% increase
Canada; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.12 -1.71 -0.657 Medium 1094 0.424 0.935 1.05 1 0 -42.5 -57 -27.6 0.152 0.838 0.01 0 0 0
Alberta; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.15 -1.98 -0.37 Low 157 0.241 1 1.61 0.998 0.002 -43.2 -62.4 -16.6 0.262 0.654 0.082 0.002 0 0
British Columbia; Long-term 1970-2019 -0.465 -1 0.078 Low 163 0.057 1 1.08 0.954 0.046 -20.4 -39 3.89 0 0.321 0.634 0.046 0 0
Manitoba; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.3 -2.48 -0.307 High 81 0.514 0.915 2.18 0.994 0.006 -47.5 -70.9 -14 0.426 0.495 0.074 0.006 0 0
New Brunswick; Long-term 1970-2019 -0.037 -0.633 0.589 High 47 0.982 1 1.22 0.548 0.452 -1.8 -26.7 33.4 0 0.036 0.512 0.426 0.026 0
Newfoundland and Labrador; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.87 -3.78 0.106 Medium 27 0.401 0.8 3.88 0.971 0.029 -60.3 -84.8 5.33 0.694 0.22 0.057 0.022 0.005 0.001
Northwest Territories; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.34 -3.88 1.25 Low 12 0.048 0.6 5.13 0.843 0.157 -48.5 -85.6 83.5 0.478 0.24 0.125 0.083 0.056 0.018
Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island; Long-term 1970-2019 0.023 -0.551 0.602 High 40 0.963 1 1.15 0.47 0.53 1.14 -23.7 34.2 0 0.019 0.451 0.502 0.029 0
Ontario; Long-term 1970-2019 -0.728 -1.32 -0.167 High 227 0.503 1 1.15 0.994 0.006 -30.1 -47.8 -7.87 0.014 0.682 0.298 0.006 0 0
Québec; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.56 -2.39 -0.83 Medium 186 0.363 1 1.56 1 0 -53.8 -69.4 -33.5 0.649 0.345 0.006 0 0 0
Saskatchewan; Long-term 1970-2019 -0.859 -1.77 0.062 High 95 0.505 1 1.83 0.965 0.035 -34.5 -58.4 3.06 0.123 0.594 0.248 0.033 0.002 0
Yukon; Long-term 1970-2019 -1.72 -3.38 -0.052 Low 48 0.088 1 3.33 0.979 0.021 -57.2 -81.5 -2.5 0.651 0.263 0.065 0.019 0.002 0
Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.82 -3.31 -0.326 Low 53 0.091 1 2.98 0.991 0.009 -59.3 -80.7 -14.8 0.711 0.238 0.042 0.009 0 0
Northern Pacific Rainforest (BCR 5); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.031 -1.01 0.979 High 54 1 1 1.99 0.525 0.475 -1.52 -39.3 61.2 0.004 0.133 0.388 0.35 0.123 0.001
Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.08 -2.51 -0.057 Low 148 0.246 0.879 2.46 0.981 0.019 -41.2 -71.3 -2.76 0.309 0.493 0.179 0.019 0 0
Taiga Shield and Hudson Plains (BCR 7); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.56 -3.87 0.791 Low 11 0.043 0.84 4.66 0.911 0.089 -53.8 -85.6 47.1 0.554 0.256 0.101 0.053 0.029 0.007
Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.19 -2.03 -0.441 Low 142 0.186 0.95 1.59 0.998 0.002 -44.4 -63.5 -19.5 0.299 0.641 0.058 0.002 0 0
Great Basin (BCR 9); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.67 -1.54 0.211 High 30 1 1 1.75 0.927 0.073 -28.1 -53.2 10.9 0.046 0.53 0.352 0.07 0.002 0
Northern Rockies (BCR 10); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.312 -1.02 0.413 High 80 1 1 1.43 0.81 0.19 -14.2 -39.5 22.4 0.001 0.215 0.594 0.18 0.01 0
Prairie Potholes (BCR 11); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.99 -2.58 -1.43 High 169 0.787 1 1.14 1 0 -62.7 -72.2 -50.7 0.979 0.021 0 0 0 0
Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.04 -1.49 -0.591 High 171 0.723 1 0.898 1 0 -40.1 -52.1 -25.2 0.054 0.923 0.024 0 0 0
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.43 -1.91 -0.945 High 98 0.971 1 0.969 1 0 -50.5 -61.2 -37.2 0.54 0.46 0 0 0 0
Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.051 -0.473 0.356 High 138 0.931 1 0.829 0.592 0.408 -2.45 -20.7 19 0 0.007 0.586 0.407 0.001 0
Canada (Taiga Shield and Hudson Plains (BCR 7)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.56 -3.87 0.791 Low 11 0.043 0.84 4.66 0.911 0.089 -53.8 -85.6 47.1 0.554 0.256 0.101 0.053 0.029 0.007
Alberta (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.22 -2.19 -0.258 Low 73 0.154 1 1.93 0.993 0.007 -45.2 -66.2 -11.9 0.349 0.549 0.095 0.007 0 0
Alberta (Northern Rockies (BCR 10)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.29 -2.87 0.305 High 15 1 1 3.18 0.943 0.057 -47.2 -76 16.1 0.452 0.355 0.136 0.046 0.011 0
Alberta (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.365 -1.43 0.772 High 69 0.945 1 2.2 0.735 0.265 -16.4 -50.7 45.7 0.028 0.307 0.401 0.218 0.046 0.001
British Columbia (Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4)); Long-term 1970-2019 -2.29 -4.74 0.174 Low 5 0.056 1 4.92 0.967 0.033 -67.9 -90.8 8.88 0.762 0.153 0.052 0.021 0.011 0.001
British Columbia (Northern Pacific Rainforest (BCR 5)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.031 -1.01 0.979 High 54 1 1 1.99 0.525 0.475 -1.52 -39.3 61.2 0.004 0.133 0.388 0.35 0.123 0.001
British Columbia (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.21 -3.01 0.675 Low 9 0.05 1 3.68 0.89 0.11 -44.9 -77.6 39.1 0.419 0.322 0.15 0.078 0.028 0.003
British Columbia (Great Basin (BCR 9)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.67 -1.54 0.211 High 30 1 1 1.75 0.927 0.073 -28.1 -53.2 10.9 0.046 0.53 0.352 0.07 0.002 0
British Columbia (Northern Rockies (BCR 10)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.23 -0.987 0.54 High 65 1 1 1.53 0.726 0.274 -10.7 -38.5 30.2 0.001 0.167 0.558 0.255 0.019 0
Manitoba (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.829 -1.93 0.316 Medium 23 0.358 1 2.24 0.921 0.079 -33.5 -61.5 16.7 0.161 0.499 0.261 0.07 0.009 0
Manitoba (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.28 -3.11 0.566 Low 12 0.082 0.84 3.68 0.918 0.082 -46.9 -78.8 31.9 0.443 0.334 0.14 0.058 0.021 0.002
Manitoba (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2019 -2.4 -3.3 -1.49 High 36 0.873 1 1.8 1 0 -69.6 -80.6 -52.1 0.985 0.015 0 0 0 0
Manitoba (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2019 -2.15 -3.58 -0.718 High 10 0.641 1 2.86 0.999 0.001 -65.5 -83.2 -29.7 0.849 0.134 0.016 0.001 0 0
New Brunswick (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.037 -0.633 0.589 High 47 0.982 1 1.22 0.548 0.452 -1.8 -26.7 33.4 0 0.036 0.512 0.426 0.026 0
Newfoundland and Labrador (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.87 -3.78 0.106 Medium 27 0.401 0.8 3.88 0.971 0.029 -60.3 -84.8 5.33 0.694 0.22 0.057 0.022 0.005 0.001
Northwest Territories (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.34 -3.88 1.25 Low 12 0.053 0.6 5.13 0.843 0.157 -48.5 -85.6 83.5 0.478 0.24 0.125 0.083 0.056 0.018
Ontario (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.467 -1.56 0.713 Low 55 0.215 1 2.27 0.787 0.213 -20.5 -53.6 41.6 0.047 0.369 0.371 0.173 0.039 0.001
Ontario (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.797 -1.34 -0.258 High 97 0.817 1 1.09 0.999 0.001 -32.4 -48.5 -11.9 0.016 0.775 0.208 0.001 0 0
Ontario (Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.37 -1.93 -0.833 High 75 0.982 1 1.1 1 0 -49.1 -61.6 -33.6 0.448 0.549 0.003 0 0 0
Québec (Boreal Softwood Shield (BCR 8)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.91 -3.23 -0.623 Low 48 0.134 1 2.6 0.998 0.002 -61.1 -79.9 -26.4 0.781 0.198 0.019 0.002 0 0
Québec (Boreal Hardwood Transition (BCR 12)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.32 -2.16 -0.446 High 64 0.569 1 1.71 0.999 0.001 -47.8 -65.7 -19.7 0.431 0.521 0.046 0.001 0 0
Québec (Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain (BCR 13)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.71 -2.58 -0.859 High 23 0.926 1 1.72 1 0 -57.1 -72.2 -34.5 0.767 0.228 0.006 0 0 0
Québec (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2019 -0.218 -1.26 0.821 High 51 0.765 1 2.08 0.655 0.345 -10.2 -46.3 49.3 0.012 0.239 0.404 0.276 0.067 0.003
Saskatchewan (Boreal Taiga Plains (BCR 6)); Long-term 1970-2019 0.23 -1.25 1.78 Medium 31 0.362 1 3.04 0.379 0.621 11.9 -46.1 138 0.018 0.125 0.237 0.301 0.26 0.06
Saskatchewan (Prairie Potholes (BCR 11)); Long-term 1970-2019 -2.38 -3.28 -1.47 High 64 0.714 1 1.81 1 0 -69.2 -80.5 -51.6 0.983 0.017 0 0 0 0
Yukon (Northwestern Interior Forest (BCR 4)); Long-term 1970-2019 -1.72 -3.38 -0.052 Low 48 0.088 1 3.33 0.979 0.021 -57.2 -81.5 -2.5 0.651 0.263 0.065 0.019 0.002 0
Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island (Atlantic Northern Forest (BCR 14)); Long-term 1970-2019 0.023 -0.551 0.602 High 40 0.963 1 1.15 0.47 0.53 1.14 -23.7 34.2 0 0.019 0.451 0.502 0.029 0

This web site may be cited as: Smith, A.C., Hudson, M-A.R. Aponte, V.I., and Francis, C.M. 2020. North American Breeding Bird Survey - Canadian Trends Website, Data-version 2019. Environment and Climate Change Canada, Gatineau, Quebec, K1A 0H3

Any use of these BBS results for Canada should acknowledge the hundreds of skilled volunteers in Canada who have participated in the BBS over the years and those who have served as provincial or territorial coordinators for the BBS.

  1. Smith, A. C., & Edwards, B. P. M. (2020). North American Breeding Bird Survey status and trend estimates to inform a wide range of conservation needs, using a flexible Bayesian hierarchical generalized additive model. The Condor, duaa065. https://doi.org/10.1093/ornithapp/duaa065
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